Small business owners see improvement in revenue, cash flow and hiring over the past year in the latest Wells Fargo/Gallup survey
SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Small business owners report they are the most optimistic in seven
years, according to the latest Wells Fargo/Gallup Small Business Index,
with stronger revenues, improved cash flow and increased hiring
contributing to the improvement.
In the latest quarterly small business survey, conducted Jan. 5-9, the
overall Index score, which measures small business owner optimism,
jumped to positive 71 (+71), significantly up from +58 in November 2014
and up from +45 in January 2014. While the score is still below
pre-recession levels, it is the highest it has been since January 2008
when the Index score was +83.
Several factors contributed to the rise in optimism this quarter,
including:
-
Improved revenue – In the January survey, 49 percent of
small business owners reported that their revenues increased a little
or a lot over the past 12 months, up from 37 percent a year ago. This
represents the highest reading on this measure since 2007, when 52
percent of small business owners reported increased revenues.
-
Better cash flow – Business owners’ cash flow improved over the
past 12 months, with 54 percent rating their company cash flow as very
good or somewhat good, compared to 52 percent in the first quarter of
2014.
-
Hiring is up – More business owners increased the number of
jobs at their company over the past 12 months (19 percent). Just 11
percent reported a decrease in jobs, compared to 16 percent in last
quarter’s survey.
-
Access to credit – The ability to obtain credit also improved
with more than a third (34 percent) of survey respondents reporting
that it was somewhat or very easy to obtain credit over the past 12
months, up from 30 percent in November 2014, and 28 percent a year ago.
“The overall Index score speaks to the general improvements that many
small businesses experienced in 2014,” said Lisa Stevens, Wells Fargo
head of Small Business “With the economy improving every day, many
business owners are seeing stronger revenues and are feeling a renewed
sense of confidence and expecting an even better year ahead.”
Current Conditions
Incremental increases in how small business owners feel about their
current conditions and the future helped drive the rise in optimism this
quarter. The present situation score – how business owners rate current
conditions for their businesses – continues to climb, increasing to +28
in January, up from +21 last quarter and up from +16 a year ago.
The survey shows that business owner perceptions of their present
situation continues to improve each year, having increased 30 points
since January 2013, and 57 points from its lowest point (-29) in the
first quarter 2010.
A Promising Year Ahead
In addition to reporting an improved present situation, business owners
are feeling confident about the year ahead. The positive outlook is
reflected in the future expectations score, which increased to +43 in
January, up from +37 in November 2014 and +29 a year ago.
Key findings that contribute to the future expectations score include:
-
Revenues – 55 percent of business owners anticipate that their
revenues will increase a little or a lot, compared to 48 percent in
January 2014.
-
Financial situation – 73 percent of small business owners think
their company’s financial situation will be very good or somewhat good
12 months from now, an increase of 7 percentage points from January
2014.
-
Cash flow – 65 percent of business owners believe their company
cash flow will be very or somewhat good over the next 12 months, up
from 57 percent in January 2014.
-
Capital spending – When asked about capital spending, 31
percent of business owners expect to increase the amount they allocate
a little or a lot, up from 27 percent in January 2014, and matching
numbers from January 2008 (also 31 percent).
Small Business Index Key Drivers
Wells Fargo and Gallup survey small business owners across the nation
each quarter to gauge their perceptions of their present situation (past
12 months) and future expectations (next 12 months) in six key areas:
financial situation, cash flow, revenues, capital spending allocation,
hiring, and credit availability.
Wells Fargo/Gallup Small Business Index Scores: Q1 2014– Q1 2015
|
|
|
Overall Index
Score
|
|
|
Present
Situation
|
|
|
Future
Expectations
|
Q1 2015 (surveyed January 2015)
|
|
|
71
|
|
|
28
|
|
|
43
|
Q4 2014 (surveyed November 2014)
|
|
|
58
|
|
|
21
|
|
|
37
|
Q3 2014 (surveyed July 2014)
|
|
|
49
|
|
|
18
|
|
|
31
|
Q2 2014 (surveyed April 2014)
|
|
|
47
|
|
|
14
|
|
|
33
|
Q1 2014 (surveyed January 2014)
|
|
|
45
|
|
|
16
|
|
|
29
|
About the Wells Fargo/Gallup Small Business Index
Since August 2003, the Wells Fargo/Gallup Small Business Index has
surveyed small business owners on current and future perceptions of
their business financial situation. The Index consists of two
dimensions: 1) Owners’ ratings of the current situation of their
businesses and, 2) Owners’ ratings of how they expect their businesses
to perform over the next 12 months. Results are based on telephone
interviews with 603 small business owners in all 50 United States
conducted
Jan. 5-9 2015. The overall Small Business Index is computed using a
formula that scores and sums the answers to 12 questions — six about the
present situation and six about the future. An Index score of zero
indicates that small business owners, as a group, are neutral – neither
optimistic nor pessimistic – about their companies’ situations. The
overall Index can range from -400 (the most negative score possible) to
+400 (the most positive score possible), but in practice spans a much
more limited range. The margin of sampling error is +/- four percentage
points. The highest Index reading was +114 in the fourth quarter of
2006, and the lowest reading was -28 in the third quarter of 2010.
Wells Fargo serves approximately 3 million small business owners across
the United States and loans more money to America’s small businesses
than any other bank (2002-2013 CRA government data). To help more small
businesses achieve financial success, in 2014 Wells Fargo introduced Wells
Fargo Works for Small Business
SM
–
a broad initiative to deliver resources, guidance and services for
business owners – and a goal to extend $100 billion in new lending to
small businesses by 2018. For more information about Wells Fargo Works for
Small Business, visit: WellsFargoWorks.com.
Follow us on Twitter @WellsFargoWorks.
About Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE: WFC) is a nationwide, diversified,
community-based financial services company with $1.7 trillion in assets.
Founded in 1852 and headquartered in San Francisco, Wells Fargo provides
banking, insurance, investments, mortgage, and consumer and commercial
finance through more than 8,700 locations, 12,500 ATMs, and the internet
(wellsfargo.com),
and has offices in 36 countries to support customers who conduct
business in the global economy. With approximately 265,000 team members,
Wells Fargo serves one in three households in the United States. Wells
Fargo & Company was ranked No. 29 on Fortune’s 2014 rankings of
America’s largest corporations. Wells Fargo’s vision is to satisfy all
our customers’ financial needs and help them succeed financially. Wells
Fargo perspectives are also available at Wells
Fargo Blogs and Wells
Fargo Stories.
About Gallup
For more than 70 years, Gallup has been a recognized leader in the
measurement and analysis of people’s attitudes, opinions and behavior.
While best known for the Gallup Poll, founded in 1935, Gallup’s current
activities consist largely of providing marketing and management
research, advisory services and education to the world’s largest
corporations and institutions.